The revised area and fifth production forecast and summer crop estimate for 2020 was recently released by the Crop Estimates Committee (CEC).
The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,514 million tons, which is 0,48% or 75 600 tons less than the previous forecast. The area estimate for maize is 2,611 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,94t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 38% bigger than the 2019 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West, are expected to produce 84% of the 2020 crop.
White and yellow maize
The area estimate for white maize is 1,616 million ha; for yellow maize it is 994 500ha. The production forecast of white maize remained unchanged at 9,075 million tons, with an expected yield of 5,61t/ha. In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 6,439 million tons, which is 1,16% or 75 600 tons less than the previous forecast. The expected yield for yellow maize is 6,47t/ha.
At 765 960 tons, the production forecast for sunflower seed is unchanged from the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 500 300ha, while the expected yield is 1,53t/ha.
The production forecast for soya beans has decreased by 2,29% or 29 500 tons, from 1,291 million tons to 1,261 million tons. The estimated area planted to soya beans is 705 000ha and the expected yield is 1,79t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop is 52 140 tons – a decrease of 16,54% or 10 330 tons. The area estimate is 37 500ha, with an expected yield of 1,39t/ha.
The production forecast for sorghum is 133 660 tons, which is 1,49% or 2 025 tons less than the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 500ha and the expected yield is 3,14t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 68 860, which is 3,08% or 2 190 tons less than the previous forecast. The area estimate for dry beans is 50 150ha, with an expected yield of 1,37t/ha.
The sixth production forecast for summer field crops for 2020 will be released on 29 July 2020. – CEC report
Click here to read the previous summer crop production forecast.